Published on: June 20, 2025

CEEW HEAT RISK STUDY

CEEW HEAT RISK STUDY

CONTEXT

  • Heat-related risks are rising across India due to climate change.
  • On May 20, 2025, the Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW) released a comprehensive report titled ‘How Extreme Heat is Impacting India: Assessing District-level Heat Risk’.
  • The study provides vital insights to guide climate-resilient planning and public health strategies.

CONCEPT

  • Heat Risk ≠ Heatwave or Heat Stress:
    • Heatwave: Prolonged period of abnormally high temperatures, no universal definition.
    • Heat Stress: Body temperature > 37°C → fatigue, cramps, risk of heat stroke (>40°C).
    • Heat Risk: Likelihood of illness or death due to heat exposure, shaped by:
      • Heat intensity (incl. humidity)
      • Exposure level (e.g., outdoor work)
      • Community vulnerability (age, health, housing, etc.)
  • Heat Risk Index (HRI):
    • Developed by CEEW researchers.
    • Assessed 734 Indian districts using 35 indicators, such as:
      • Number of very hot days
      • Population density
      • Disability prevalence
      • Changes in land use and vegetation cover

CURRENT

  • 2024 was the hottest year ever recorded globally, including in India.
  • Global average temperature exceeded 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.
  • Multiple Indian districts now fall into high or very high heat risk zones, even outside traditional heatwave-prone areas.
  • Rising temperatures are intensifying urban heat islands, especially in densely populated cities.
  • Vulnerable populations—like the elderly, disabled, outdoor laborers, and children—face the greatest risk.

Implications for Policy & Governance

  • District-wise heat action plans needed, not just state-level responses.
  • Climate-sensitive urban planning (e.g., green spaces, heat-reflective buildings) is essential.
  • Early warning systems, hydration access, and awareness drives must be scaled.
  • Integration of climate adaptation in rural and urban development is urgent.
  • CEEW’s index can aid in targeted relief, especially under India’s National Disaster Management Plan and Smart Cities Mission.