KARNATAKA’S 2025 POPULATION IS DISPUTED

Published on: July 2, 2025

Election Commission (EC) estimates 7.86 crore, while the National Commission on Population (TGPP) projects 6.85 crore
The 2011 census recorded Karnataka’s population at 6.10 crore
Accurate population data is essential for internal SC reservations and caste census planning
The Nagamohan Das commission uses TGPP’s 6.85 crore estimate
The Backward Classes Commission has not yet selected a preferred estimate
TGPP uses Cohort Component Method, factoring in fertility, mortality, and migration
Karnataka’s population growth rate has declined due to falling fertility—from 1% (2011–15) to 0.6% (2021–25)
EC estimates use decadal growth rates from Assembly constituencies and geometric progression, including migration – causing the difference
Both estimates agree on similar growth for 18+ population, but differ on 0–17 age group due to falling fertility
Experts say EC’s method overlooks lower birth rates, making TGPP more accurate
All agree a decadal census is the only definitive solution
Census reference date set for March 1, 2027

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