Published on: April 10, 2024

WEATHER FORECAST FOR BENGALURU AND TECHNOLOGY

WEATHER FORECAST FOR BENGALURU AND TECHNOLOGY

  • Heatwave Conditions and Rainfall Predictions:
    • Karnataka experiencing intense heatwave conditions, with temperatures above normal throughout April and May.
    • Expecting average or slightly less rainfall in April and May, which may provide temporary relief from the heat.
  • Factors Contributing to Intense Heat:
    • Global factors like the El Nino effect and local factors such as population growth, urbanization, and greenhouse gas emissions impacting Karnataka’s climate.
    • No fixed pattern observed; variations noted in temperatures based on global climate phenomena.
  • Impact of Drought and Monsoon Predictions:
    • Drought conditions due to poor rains in the previous monsoon.
    • Predictions for the upcoming monsoon are favorable, with the El Nino index turning neutral and positive signs from the Indian Ocean Depolarization Factor by June.
  • Evolution of Prediction Accuracy:
    • Transition from subjective predictions to numerical weather prediction models for accurate forecasts.
    • Utilization of radar, satellite images, Automatic Weather Stations (AWS), machine learning, and automation to enhance accuracy.
    • Improvement in cyclone prediction accuracy, leading to reduced casualties during severe weather events.
  • Challenges and Advances in Weather Prediction:
    • Challenges in predicting weather for tropical regions due to higher weather vagaries, especially in southern India.
    • Technology and advanced tools aiding in overcoming challenges and improving prediction accuracy in diverse climatic conditions.
  • History and Technological Growth of IMD Bengaluru:
    • IMD Bengaluru established in 1867, with significant technological advancements over the years.
    • Introduction of Doppler weather radar in Bengaluru will enhance short-term weather forecasting accuracy.
    • Current reliance on radars in other locations with limitations due to distance; Bengaluru’s radar to provide specific and accurate forecasts for the region.